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Old 04-24-2020, 07:18 PM   #24294
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Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
I think we are most certainly undercounting cases. At the same time I think we are also over counting the deaths caused by Covid but I understand why.

That being said I think you have millions of people who have or have had this which would change the models drastically.

Or lets put some actual logic behind it. We keep hearing this is much more contagious than the flu, right? We have 10’s of millions of people get the flu each season. Why would we assume less than a million have this virus or have had it?
If we’re under counting by 16 that would theoretically make the IFR .03.

That’s what I was saying earlier, aomething seems off with my math
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