Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaHawkeyeChief
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Again: you did not include the flu data by age.
In an effort to shorten this, I did the math and you are wrong:
in 2017-18 (really bad year for flu), the total flu cases for under 65 were estimated to be 38,856,940. The total deaths under 65 were estimated to be 10,197.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm
As of April 14 (because the CDC data lags) deaths under 65 were 6,501, the case count for under 65 as of April 14 was 621,953
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
About 29% of COVID cases are over 65, so I adjusted the worldometer number by that. so 621,953x.29= 441,587
That gives us current CFR of .026% for flu under 65 y/o in 17-18' and current CFR of 1.47% for COVID 19 under 65 to date.