Quote:
Originally Posted by banyon
Until you stop, read, and think about my post, this isn't going to work.
Again, for the 3rd TIME:
Also:
Now what I used were the official numbers from CDC. The adjustments I made were explained 3 times.
If your point is "well the official number is off" then You tell me what denominator you want to use. BUT, you should also adjust the numerator, as we know the deaths are an undercount as well by up to 20-30%, plus they are lagged by two weeks.
Again, YOU made this claim that FLU deaths were higher for under 65 y/o's than COVID19. I am attempting to do the math on your claim for you. You haven't provided anything other than some generic hand waving at some links that you didn't actually run the numerical comparison on.
The links you provide here are just again generic hand waving. They DO NOT include flu deaths by age group. They are also expressed as per 100k rather than as a percentage.
But BASED on your own link you just provided, the deaths would be 128.84 (45-64 y/o) plus 14.3 (18-44) plus 0.0 (0-17)= 143.14 per 300k (the three groups added together). So divide 143.14/300000= .047%
.047 percent there is the mortality rate for the ENTIRE population of NY City of under 65 year olds, whether they are infected or not. And even that number is DOUBLE the flu number.
Let's face it, your idea that the flu is more deadly for under 65 was not well thought out. It's ok. Everyone makes mistakes.
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Hey Dolt.... Reread my original post original post slower, maybe you can grasp it then...
Again, Covid-19 is less deadly than some past seasons for the flu for those under 65 and
healthy. You obviously are leaving out the healthy part... You see counselor, the flu, in some season as I specifically referred to, H1N1 and 2017-2018, young and healthy were dying with no underlying conditions at a rate much higher than other flu seasons and currently with Covid-19.
So let's go back to the math, 90% of deaths in NY had underlying conditions. Therefore for healthy and under 65, take your deaths times .10. 143.14 x .10 = 14.3/300,000 = .000048 or .0048%. Coincidentally, that would also be the mortality rate for those under age 45
WITH underlying conditions...
AGAIN, was H1N1 and the 2017-2018(remember its 4 months, not 2 years) flu more deadly for those under age 65 and healthy than Covid-19?
It's OK, everyone makes mistakes...