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Originally Posted by DaFace
Na, not really. Models are built on thousands of data points and dozens of assumptions. Knowing that it existed earlier than we expected might make a minor impact, but it's not going to dramatically alter what we know or how we respond.
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If the models started coming out on January 1st, and data was collected when first present had we known to look for it, it would change everything. I don’t know how you can suggest other wise. That’s what I’m referring to with models. Not going back now but if they started when they theoretically could.
The looking back discussion is more along the lines of if we knew it was spreading on January 1st, would shut downs have happened? With six weeks of community spread and few deaths or hospitals overrun would it be viewed as less serious or more serious? What impact did the media have? How much more would we know now with treatments and amount of infections?