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Old 05-06-2020, 12:39 PM   #28561
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BleedingRed View Post
It would also change the mortality rate dramatically/Hospitalization rate dramatically if that were true.

In which case we could adjust models accordingly
That would be true in a vacuum, but we already have two months of data that is being fed into the models, and so far IHME at least has performed pretty well. If anything, deaths are coming in above the forecasts these days, which doesn't suggest that there's evidence that the models are too alarmist.
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