Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins
Yes. A big issue with this is that the layperson thinks a snapshot is definitive. That's why I mentioned on here sometime back that 100% of current smokers have not yet died of lung cancer. Given what we've seen from some of the better-designed antibody studies and analyses of population level mortality, I would venture a guess that the IFR is probably a tick under 1% if you have adequate hospital capacity. However, given the R0 is also much higher than the flu, then absent mitigation strategies, you are looking at dozens and dozens of deaths more than a regular flu season, which is why we did what we did.
France, for example, reduced their R0 by 77%, from 2.9 to 0.67.
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Thank you. Holding this ****er under 1% would be great.
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I think the young people enjoy it when I "get down," verbally, don't you?
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