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Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins
100% incomplete data? It's data from the 2017-8 flu season, which has been over for two years.
I'm using one city, which has a sample size of 8,000,000 people to draw from. Their serology data does not point to a substantively higher IFR than other regions given the cumulative number of infections, nor is at an outlier.
Serology study from Spain points to 5% prevalence with an IFR of 1.1%
New York City serology information points to 21% prevalence with an IFR of 0.977%
There's nothing different about New York's epidemic from Spain's if you look at IFR--it's not an outlier. Given that, we can draw pretty clear comparisons to age-related mortality, which is, again, substantially higher for every cohort over 18, than the flu.
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The numbers for the flu are understated and the CDC websight clearly tells you that.
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While flu deaths in children are reported to CDC, flu deaths in adults are not nationally notifiable. In order to monitor influenza related deaths in all age groups, CDC tracks pneumonia and influenza (P&I)-attributed deaths through the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Mortality Reporting System. This system tracks the proportion of death certificates processed that list pneumonia or influenza as the underlying or contributing cause of death. This system provides an overall indication of whether flu-associated deaths are elevated, but does not provide an exact number of how many people died from flu.
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And I am not comparing it directly to the flu, thats not what I said.
Now keep in mind this only KNOWN positives not asymptomatic or low symptom cases. Average age 81. Its not that deadly to people under 65 period.
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