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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud
I don't think the Jet are giving up on Darnold, who's only 22 years old, nor will the Browns give up on Mayfield nor the Giants on Jones, who was drafted by their current GM.
Stafford? Maybe? But they've been in a position to draft Top QB's for years and continue to pass. Unless Stafford just shits the bed in 2020, I'd be surprised to see them move on from him but with Detroit, anything is possible.
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But to get to 1.1 you're talking, what, 2-14? If Mayfield or Darnold do that, you're talking about 13-14 wins over their first 3 seasons as a starter. And who are now in their walk years in their own right. Jones may get a little more rope but there were rumors that the Giants were considering Tua and/or Herbert. Obviously they didn't go that route, but another disaster season after getting a hell of a T prospect to protect him may have them changing their minds.
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History? Sure. But the league is rapidly changing.
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And yet there are still more Rosens and Darnolds than there are Mahomes. Playing QB is easier than ever, but many, if not most, 1st round quarterbacks still haven't been very good at it.
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In years past, QB's like Cam Newton and Andy Dalton would have been swiped up before the first day of the new League Year, yet Dalton's earning $3 million this year and Newton's unsigned. Jameis Winston, the #1 overall pick just a few years ago, signed a deal with the Saints to be a backup while Mariota was signed to the Raiders.
As GM's and Head Coaches have skewed younger, so have QB's around the league.
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And yet Phillip Rivers just got $25 million for a season. Brady got $50 million for 2. Neither of those guys are as good as Dak right now and neither present legitimate long-term solutions at QB.
I'm not saying a dozen teams will be lining up to give him that kind of deal - but
one will. It only ever takes one team.
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Once again, with as many holes as the Cowboys have on their current roster, paying Dak 20% or more of their salary cap seems extremely unwise.
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Those holes are the kind that you can't just go throwing FA dollars out there to fix, though. Trying to rebuild a secondary through high-dollar FAs just isn't terribly smart. It's every bit as inefficient as 'overpaying' at QB. Their OL, skill players and DL has solid talent on it that's under contract for awhile.
They need to draft well to fill those holes, but they're gonna need to draft well to fill those holes with or without Dak. The history of big money FA additions in the secondary just isn't that great.