[BleedingRed]

Originally Posted by Donger

Since you either aren't aware that you cherry-picked, or are and did so intentionally, I'll share the complete CDC estimates based on the five scenarios:

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...scenarios.html

Scenario 1:

• Lower-bound values for virus transmissibility and disease severity
• Lower percentage of transmission prior to onset of symptoms
• Lower percentage of infections that never have symptoms and lower contribution of those cases to transmission

Scenario 2:

• Lower-bound values for virus transmissibility and disease severity
• Higher percentage of transmission prior to onset of symptoms
• Higher percentage of infections that never have symptoms and higher contribution of those cases to transmission

Scenario 3:

• Upper-bound values for virus transmissibility and disease severity
• Lower percentage of transmission prior to onset of symptoms
• Lower percentage of infections that never have symptoms and lower contribution of those cases to transmission

Scenario 4:

• Upper-bound values for virus transmissibility and disease severity
• Higher percentage of transmission prior to onset of symptoms
• Higher percentage of infections that never have symptoms and higher contribution of those cases to transmission

Scenario 5:

• Parameter values for disease severity, viral transmissibility, and pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic disease transmission that represent the best estimate, based on the latest surveillance data and scientific knowledge. Parameter values are based on data received by CDC prior to 4/29/2020.

Scenario 1 Estimated CFR = 0.2%
Scenario 2 Estimated CFR = 0.2%
Scenario 3 Estimated CFR = 1.0%
Scenario 4 Estimated CFR = 1.0%
Scenario 5 Estimated CFR = 0.4% (best estimate)

“Best Estimate🤣”