[Donger]

Originally Posted by DaFace

Gwynne Shotwell is probably a more reasonable gauge of timelines. Here's what she said recently:

Outlook from @spacex's Gwynne Shotwell: "We've learned so much in the last six years, I'm sure we will have people flying in Starship in less than six years. It would be a major company fail if we're not flying people in like half that amount of time or less." -AvWeek interview

— Irene Klotz (@Free_Space) May 25, 2020

Note that she's just talking about flying (at all). It's hard to imagine Mars being only a couple years away.

But I will say that, once you understand "Elon Time," you get it. He says "we'll do it in 2 years" when everyone else thinks it'll take 10. Then when it's done in 5, it's still a big win.

He stole that from Scotty.