Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger
Yes, they did. In less than a month. Seems like a rather short time frame to acquire herd immunity. And even if that 30% speculative number is accurate, as you know, that far below what epidemiologists say is required.
I think it much more likely that saw the horrible rise in cases and deaths, slammed the doors shut, everyone masked and they are reopening with a phased approach based on numbers and data, not want.
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Most virologists and epidemiologists have said it's likely somewhere between 20 and 60 percent. The early talk of 70 is pretty much history.
You also have overshot once it gets ramping out of control. It's not gonna be the same everywhere also, so if it is that in NY which is heavily dense in population, it would likely be lower in say, BFE MO.
It's not a one size fits all thing.
I'm hopeful it is the same thing in Italy and they're where NY is. If thats the case, places like large cities in Texas and Florida are about 2 or 3 weeks from it.