Thread: News ***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
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Old 07-22-2020, 11:06 AM   #40179
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger View Post
To be expected, but it sucks to see deaths go above 1,000 again. Hopefully it's not a trend.
Based on cases, deaths should peak in 2-3 weeks.

My little analysis I posted had deaths getting close to 2k/day. I calculated CFR + 28 days based on positivity % in each state - looking backwards to get CFR then extrapolating forward. Basically I came up with a range of CFR+28 of between 5% and 2% - based on positivity rate.

But it starting to look like this wave in FL/TX/AZ is skewing younger as time goes on, so the CFR + 28 days will be lower.
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