Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
That simply may be a function of our political structure. It would be more accurate to compare the UK (or other country) to an individual state like New York etc...
And to be clear, he is not referencing excess deaths overall but on a weekly basis(I think). It will be closer to 6 months or even a year(possibly longer but with the heavy weighting toward the elderly it should be relatively quick) before the excess deaths overall are back in line.
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No, it's a function of comparing numbers. Yes, the UK curve looks much like New York's. It looks nothing like the US' (now) curves.
I looked that guy up. I'm not sure that I'd give his predictions much credence, to be blunt:
https://www.latimes.com/science/stor...nobel-laureate
March 23, 2020
9:13 PM
Michael Levitt, a Nobel laureate and Stanford biophysicist, began analyzing the number of COVID-19 cases worldwide in January and correctly calculated that China would get through the worst of its coronavirus outbreak long before many health experts had predicted.
Now he foresees a similar outcome in the United States and the rest of the world.
While many epidemiologists are warning of months, or even years, of massive social disruption and millions of deaths, Levitt says the data simply don’t support such a dire scenario — especially in areas where reasonable social distancing measures are in place.
“What we need is to control the panic,” he said. In the grand scheme, “we’re going to be fine.”
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/no...-deaths-621407
Nobel laureate: surprised if Israel has more than 10 coronavirus deaths
Israeli Nobel Prize winner Michael Levitt has predicted that no more than ten Israelis will succumb to COVID-19 – and even less with the new restrictions – since the number of cases is so few.