[MahomesMagic]

Originally Posted by Donger

THREAD: You may have seen false claims that Imperial COVID-19 "modelling envisaged Sweden paying a heavy price for its rejection of lockdown, with 40,000 Covid deaths by 1 May and almost 100,000 by June". Our researchers made no such prediction

— Imperial College (@imperialcollege) May 6, 2020

They predicted deaths for US at 2.2 million deaths and UK with 510,000 dead. Using their model the University of Upsalla in Sweden used their same model to predict deaths in Sweden without lockdown. This study was used by lockdown proponents in Sweden.

So technically, Ferguson didn't predict Sweden but his model could easily be tested there as it was rather simple to plug in .9 IFR and 80percent presumed infected. Remember, if your model can't be replicated its useless.

And how did Fergusons model work?

96000 dead by June?

Nope. About 6 thousand.
https://www.aier.org/article/imperia...erous-results/

The fact that Imperial College tweeted that half truth is incredible. It reminds me of the people who say Sweden admits their total strategy was wrong.