Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
This article has an interesting take on what "herd immunity" actually means with covid.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/a...avirus/614035/
Basically while covid innate herd immunity may be something like 60-70%, effective herd immunity could be as low as 20% - assuming all the office drones like me keeping working from home and being careful.
However it seems to be the case that as soon as cases let up, people let their guard down, and the virus plows into a new fresh field of uninfected people. Schools re-opening could be that field. |
If there is that much innate immunity, even with opening everything up, the models would have to correct for it and things would be alot different. It's all about chains in transmission and with that much stoppage points, it's not like a brush fire.
At this point, we just don't know for sure.
They also kinda missed on the modeling where people are ping pong balls bouncing all around. For the most part, we have our select groups and areas we go.