Quote:
Originally Posted by jd1020
Most of those studies are using the ****ing cruise ship as their model and come out with a 25% MOE. Excuse me for not taking those models seriously.
|
I'm talking about the studies they did on whole towns in Germany and Italy.
Also we know IFR is generally from .5%-1% at least in the early days when people weren't socially distancing. You can use that to calculate the actual spread.
It always seems to come in around 10x actual cases vs. confirmed. Now it could be 5x sure. But it's not 1x.