Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28
Not really. I guess it depends on what you mean by "close"? We had 2 weeks with some consecutive high days but since August 8th we have only had 3 days above 1,200 thankfully.
Deaths are looking like they have rolled over a bit so I don't know that I can buy into their model as of yet.
FTR, the 7 day moving average of deaths has not been over 1,200 since the end of May. The 3 day hasn't been over 1,200 in almost 10 days.
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I would consider our average right now "close". For the month of August we are averaging 1015 deaths per day that is even with some really low weekend numbers driving that average down. There is 101 days left until December 1 so if we keep the current average that is an additional 102k deaths which will bring us to over 280k. Which is crazy to think about.