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Old 08-25-2020, 07:17 AM   #43489
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marcellus View Post
Daily new case 7 day average is at June 30th levels, daily deaths are dropping not peaking, it appears we are on the backside of the second spike. Mortality rate continues to drop steadily looking at daily new case averages vs deaths over the last month.

But of course the usual suspects will be in to claim everything will certainly go to hell soon because schools are opening and the fall spike is coming even though they also claim Covid has no seasonality.

What appears to be happening is the virus is running its course while being slowed by mitigation. We also clearly have better treatments available.
I think it is excellent news cases and deaths are going down and I believe we are going to have a lull like in the spring but when the weather gets colder cases will go back up again. This is because I don't believe the virus has seasonality, but we humans do. Nicer weather (spring, fall) people are outdoors more, shitter weather (super hot, super cold) people go huddle indoors.

It is all about being indoors with a group of people that makes this virus spread easily. That is why for example a number of college campuses now have large outbreaks.
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