Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28
So the 7 day average of new deaths is well under the 1,800 needed to meet the IHME's latest model of 400,000 dead by 1/1/21.
I think the IHME might be off a skosh...by about 1,000 deaths a day or so
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I haven't really paid much attention to models recently but when I saw that projection the other day I thought it was really high. But then you go back and look at their projection history and they seem to underestimate quite a bit what actually happened.
This is pretty cool and it looks at all the covid forecasts.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/covid-forecasts/