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Originally Posted by Rain Man
When I ran my simulations, it was 95 percent over 25 missions. Best of luck to you.
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So after 25 missions, you would expect one of the twenty planes to survive? Does the fact that we don't have replacement aircraft factor in? What I mean is, 20 planes fly out the first day, and 16 come back. 20% mortality. If 16 planes go out the next day, 20% mortality means 3 (3.2) planes buy it. Doesn' the fact that fewer planes go out each day mean that you have a greater and greater chance of cashing out? Based on fewer numbers rather than total number of missions?