Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
The virus thrives in cold/dry air. Moisture in the air (which hotter air holds a lot more of) breaks it down quicker.
None of that meant summer would end the virus, nor does it mean winter will make it go completely nuts. It's all just matters of degrees.
Also AC confuses the situation and is one thing we can't look to 1918 for guidance on. It looks like spring and fall are actually the biggest sweet spots for the US - more people outside, less AC, not much heat.
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All of this true. The only thing on our side (a little) is how much of the population has some sort of immunity. Based on the IFR of around 0.6%, we can guesstimate that around 10% of the USA population has some sort of immunity or antibodies. The question is how big of a dent will that put in the increased Covid-19 numbers from the cold and flu season we will start to see in about a month. if 1 out of 10 or 1 out of 15 people can't really spread the virus, I'm hoping that can go a long way.