Quote:
Originally Posted by LittleMeatballNick
If you take the average stats for Mahomes, he should hit 1500 attempts in roughly 7 games. If he keeps his TDs (roughly 2.5 per game) and Interceptions (roughly 0.6 per game) the same, he might have a TD to INT ratio of 4.64 which would be best in the league
41 Games
1500 Attempts
12.433 Total Yards
102 TDs
22 INTs
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It's better to look at what he's been doing in 2019 and 2020 instead of 2017-2018. He's not throwing as many TD's, but he's throwing fewer INT's. He's not the same player he was in 2018. More experienced, smarter, and less aggressive than the earlier days.
2017-2018: 50 TD & 13 INT in 17 games
2019-2020: 35 TD & 5 INT in 17 games
So right at 2 TD per game and 0.3 INT per game lately. 7 more games would give him an extra 14 TD and 2 INT. That's 99 TD and 20 INT for the career. Close to 5:1 ratio by that point if things keep playing out in similar manner to the most recent 17 games.