Quote:
Originally Posted by MahomesMagic
No. Of course not. Sweden proves it.
Another way to look at it was Imperial College and their Doomsday model was based on the idea that Covid/SarsCov2 would kill 1 out of every 100 people. A super high death rate.
Right from the start that was challenged by top infectious disease experts and epidemiologists that were world-renowned including Ioannidis, Giesecke, and Gupta.
Ioannidis of Stanford early on did sero blood work to test IFR for it and the numbers came out to .25 or so.
Giesecke who was the equivalent of Fauci for all of Europe, or their CDC, said it was going to be .10. He was widely mocked and screamed at by the Twitter verse and the junior people working on their degrees while Giesecke had written a textbook on infectious disease and had decades of real world experience.
Now we see it's going to come in lower than.20 worldwide, probably higher in the US but less than .20 overall.
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Considering that Sweden did not have no mitigation efforts, I fail to see why you think that.
We've already had 340,000 deaths WITH mitigation efforts. And we'll probably get to 500,000. So, it seems completely reasonable that if we had done nothing, 1,000,000 deaths would have been the likely result.