View Single Post
Old 03-07-2021, 07:38 PM   #8235
lewdog lewdog is offline
Mod Team
 
lewdog's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Valley of the hot as ****
Casino cash: $1621900
I still think that the stimulus passage was already cooked into the current pricing and the bigger issue we see is the run-up on safe yields from treasuries.

Indices are dropping because TNX is rocketing up.

Valuation theory 101. All a stock is worth is its future cash flows discounted to present value. The rate for discounting is set to a 'risk-free rate', which is often set to TNX for convenience. When TNX goes up, valuations go down. It is an exponential relationship, which is why a small move in TNX can crush stocks by a lot because people can park money here risk free.

TNX could still go up to around 2.00, so there is still a lot more room to drop for many stocks based on current pricing.

It's not really a 'dip' if the fundamental valuation for equities has changed.

I still expect a drop this week, although we may have a large 1-2 green days in the mix.
Posts: 45,660
lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.lewdog is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote