Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Quote:
The Summary
Ivermectin doesn’t reduce mortality in COVID a significant amount (let’s say d > 0.3) in the absence of comorbid parasites: 85-90% confidence
Parasitic worms are a significant confounder in some ivermectin studies, such that they made them get a positive result even when honest and methodologically sound: 50% confidence
Fraud and data processing errors are of similar magnitude to p-hacking and methodological problems in explaining bad studies (95% confidence interval for fraud: between >1% and 5% as important as methodological problems; 95% confidence interval for data processing errors: between 5% and 100% as important)
Probably “Trust Science” is not the right way to reach proponents of pseudoscientific medicine: ???% confidence
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Scott Alexander is a clinical psychiatrist who made a name for himself with his Star Slate Codex blog. He's consistently taken unpopular sides on covid. I trust him as an unbiased observer and an expert in evaluating clinical trials.