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Originally Posted by tredadda
I love where you are going and truly hope Cincinnati is a lock if they win. Problem is with OSU beating OU and Baylor in back to back weeks, they will make a strong case to leapfrog Cincy. Plus there will be those who want Alabama in the playoffs and will do almost anything to justify that. In this scenario, it looks like Cincy will be the odd team out.
Deep down I think most voters are hoping Cincinnati loses to Houston so that "problem" goes away. As weird as it sounds, there is still an off chance ND makes it which would make the voters even happier as many don't want to see Cincinnati or OSU in the playoffs.
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The committee has already said they will start to factor in player loss and coaching changes soon. I think that makes ND an automatic rejection, take them out. Brian Kelly really ****ed them.
Oklahoma State is getting in with a win.
I don't see Iowa beating Michigan. They will have a seat at the table.
The SEC champ is automatically in.
Spot #3 is a Wild Card. If Alabama wins, I think it's a lock that Georgia gets #3. If Georgia wins and Cincinnati wins, it's a lock.
It gets real interesting if Cincinnati and Okie State both lose, which is possible.