Chiefs are 5-0 vs NFC, and lost to Bills, Ravens and Titans. Colts lost to Bucs and Pats lost to Cowboys so if Pats and Colts overtake teams that beat Chiefs, it would not help with tiebreakers.
Seems like Chiefs will need to have better overall record than any other division winner to get a higher seed since unlikely to win any tiebreakers.
Chiefs would have to run table to get #1 seed. I could see all the other AFC teams get to 5 losses, but very unlikely that all of them get to 6 losses.
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