Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace
For what it's worth, 538's current model says:
27% Titans
25% Patriots
14% Chiefs
12% Bills
11% Ravens
8% Chargers
2% Bengals
I'd guess the Titans are a little high since the model doesn't know how to account for a missing all-star RB, but otherwise I think it's reasonable.
We want the Bills to win tonight, but honestly it really just comes down to the Chiefs winning out vs. not. The rest of it will wash out. |
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/st...l/playoff-odds
Football Outsiders has it as 41.1% Patriots, 15.7% Bills, 14.3% Chiefs, 12.1% Titans, Ravens 7.2%, and Chargers 7.2%. It also thinks if the Chiefs win 4/5 they probably do it.
Although their system clearly thinks the Patriots are the best team in the AFC, which I'm less sure about yet.