[Megatron96]

CIN has an offense, no question. They can run the ball effectively and with Burrow they can pass. They're in the top-15 total offense/game, top-10 passing yds/game, bottom third rushing/game, and top-10 again in scoring/game.

But they're pretty inconsistent, and that's not just for the season, but through their last 5 games as well. And they have issues offensively that have carried from week 1 to the present.

For instance, while CIN ranks in the top-12 in pts/gm, yds/gm, pts/play, yds/play, they somehow rank just 17th in 3rd down conversion% (39.89%). For comparison, KC ranks 1st with 51.67% conversion rate.

On the other side of the ball, CIN's D ranks 18th in 3rd down conversion% (40.40%), or well below average, with doesn't bode well for their defense come Sunday.

And it gets worse. The Bengals allow opposing QBs to complete passes at an astonishing rate (66.49%) in 2021, good for 22nd in the league. Go back and look at that list someone posted about the QBs CIN has faced in 2021. Other than Rodgers and Herbert it's not a distinguished list. Cousins (351yds, 2TDs), Rothelisberger (318, 1TDs), Mike White (405, 3TDs), Herbert (317, 3TDs), Garrapolo (296, 2TDs).

If those guys can throw for 300+ yds and multiple TDs on that defense, what could Mahomes do?

There's more, like the fact that they turn the ball over at a higher-than-average rate and are below-average generating turnovers on defense.

In simple form,

It's like this: CIN's offense is better than average, and their defense is decent at stopping the run, but below average stopping any passing attack, give away 3rd down conversions like they were candy, really bad at stopping opposing teams in the RZ, they turn the ball over too much, don't generate turnovers, and they're about to face one of the most efficient passing attacks in the league.

Any given Sunday, plus COVID BS, and all that, but by the numbers, good luck. They're going to need a healthy dose of luck to beat this Chiefs team the way KC is playing right now.