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Regarding Watson's production relative to his competition...
I thnk the fact NDSU runs so much is obscuring his productivity.
He pulled in roughly 1/3 of the team's passing yards over the course of his two healthy seasons there (freshman, when he led them in receiving, and junior, when he led them in receiving far and away).
He's not just a fast guy blowing by people, either. If you watch him, you see a man with uncommon agility and wiggle for a player his size (which is backed up by his athletic scores). He makes a lot of guys miss in the open field.
I'm not sure he's worth a 1st, but I'm not sure he isn't.
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