Quote:
Originally Posted by Rausch
To me a "hit" is getting a player who's as productive as the expectations of the round.
I would say a first round pick should be, at minimum, a starter or staple at their position with the upside of a HOF player the further up the round you go. They should be on the field for a majority of snaps and be solid and productive.
Second round is less polished and/or less upside. Might be a starter but not immediately. Might barely meet size or speed measurables. Pro bowl potential could still be there. Some level of risk.
Just take that and scale it to the round. You hit round 7 you're now in the range where the player isn't even likely to make the team. You just hope a 7th round pick can contribute in some way or on special teams.
If the player meets or exceeds the basic expectations of that round you did a good job - you had a good draft. You have a pick in each round and you end up with 3 starters you had a pretty good draft...
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That's just not true for every position though. A DE or DT, by nature of their position, isn't going to play as many snaps as an OG or OT, regardless of where they are drafted.