Thread: Cardinals ***Official 2022 STL Cardinals Thread***
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Old 07-22-2022, 08:52 AM   #487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jd1020 View Post
Seems a bit steep.

Carlson is a JAG, imo, at least so far. But he still has 4 years of control and if hes going to get you right around the average WAR for an everyday player you can probably pencil in 10 WAR for the remaining 4+ years of control. And if I look at Happ who is probably going to be around $21M in total arbitration money, Carlson will make a little bit more and probably be around $25M til he hits his FA years. That still leaves Carlson at like $30-40M in surplus, depending on whatever you value WAR at.

Carlson + Walker probably allows you to start going further down the prospect list and filling in the rest with the Burleson's and McGreevy's of the system.

I think Carlson + Walker + someone like Tink Hence would be pretty comparable to the top 3 the Marlins got for Cabrera. Then just fill in the rest with whatever lower level A ballers get the job done.

I just dont know if the Nationals would be interested in Carlson since his clock has already started and he's only got 1 pre arb year left.
Oh, and I'd FAR prefer giving up McGreevy or Liberatore over Tink Hence. The Cardinals just spent an entire draft loading up on low ceiling, high floor, fast rising college arms. Tink Hence (and Gordon Graceffo) are, IMO, the only two guys in the system right now with top of the rotation upside. Neither are likely true ace guys, but either could potentially be 2 or 3 starters.

Liberatore is looking more and more like a 4/5 type. McGreevy is probably the same.
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