[Megatron96]

I get that BUF is favored this week, though I'm not sure that the Vegas line (-3) is accurate.

On paper, it looks this way to me:

BUF has the advantage at WR, no question. I think they might have that advantage for the rest of the season, barring any huge pick ups by the Chiefs down the road.

Travis Kelce. 'Nuff said on TEs.

OL goes to the Chiefs if Trey plays.

And they have the better defense this week. This should even up later in the season, but right now they have the tighter secondary and the better DL. Plus, KC will be missing a couple starters for this meeting.

At QB it's still advantage KC, but the margin is definitely shrinking. It's definitely not the huge gulf between the two it was a couple seasons ago. Allen has morphed into the best QB in the NFL not named Mahomes.

ST I give to the Chiefs, but I doubt STs are going to dictate much in this game, so call it a wash, or a very slight advantage KC.

Running game is probably pretty much a wash, with neither team actually sporting a consistent NFL caliber run game, but I'll give the Chiefs a slight advantage because I think we have the better run-blocking OL.

So slight advantage to BUF overall, since this week they will have clear cut advantages at WR and defense overall. Basically, a wash everywhere else.

I could see a 1 or 1.5 point advantage for BUF, but 3 seems a bit high. Come playoffs, I think the defense thing will cancel if we're healthy, and our run game will probably edge theirs, mostly because we just flat out have a better running OL when they're healthy.

Of course, so long as Diggs and Gabe Davis are on the field, they'll always have the advantage at WR this season. Spags has done a good job of holding Diggs down in the past, but now this Davis guy has apparently come into his own, and judging from the highlight reels, he's going to be a problem. My guess is that Spags will do what he's been doing vs. Diggs (with a couple twists because that's how Spags rolls), and try out different matchups with Gabe. So expecting Gabe to have a pretty good day, but hopefully by the end of the half he'll have someone on him that can slow him down a little.

Going to be a very interesting game.