Quote:
Originally Posted by smithandrew051
I think the issue with the term “crapshoot” is that it implies every team has an even chance of winning it all, which obviously isn’t true.
It is though a crapshoot amongst the capable teams.
It’s more like the NBA Draft Lottery (a weighted lottery) than a normal raffle.
Having the best team doesn’t guarantee anything, but does weight the odds in your favor. You can still get unlucky and lose to a bad team.
A bad team winning 6 straight games against other tourney teams just isn’t very likely though.
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Many years there are probably 8-12 teams who "could" win it all with 2-4 favorites.
Add in the one and done nature of the tourney, and shit happens.