Quote:
Originally Posted by tredadda
That’s exactly how it works. That’s your second time not grasping this. If Davis has the drop rate you gave him then it’s safe to say that even one of his four TDs is dropped and taking seven points off the board. Do that and there is no 13 seconds, no OT, and KC cruises to an easy win while Buffalo goes home earlier than the year prior and wait to get crowned the preseason SB champs.
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That’s not how statistics and averages work.
Dropping 20% of your passes on average doesn’t mean you will drop 1 out of every 5.
You could catch 80 in a row, and then drop 20 in a row, and still be at 20% drop rate.