Quote:
Originally Posted by -King-
...they had 1 full drive. I don't think you can say a team looks unstoppable because of 1 full drive. Especially when stats say Buffalos defense gets a lot better after 1st quarters. Iirc they're 26th in DVOA in 1st quarters and then top 10 in the other 3 quarters.
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Cincy was moving easily on the 2nd drive as well. They picked up 13 yards and a first down at the Buffalo 48 yard line when Hamlin’s medical emergency happened.
Fair enough point that Buffalo’s defense might improve in the final 3.5 quarters. Still think it would be over 50% chance of losing for Buffalo. Someone else posted an advanced metric thing that suggested a 65-70% chance for Cincy to win. I don’t agree with that, but I do think it was stronger than 50/50 chance. Cincy is damn tough to beat in their stadium.