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Old 01-17-2023, 08:20 AM   #35804
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
I think he will, eventually. This year was/is his best shot, though. At least so far.

If the Bills don't get it done this year, they're going to have to hope to be in position next year and get a mid-year boost from a 100 percent healthy and recovered Von Miller.
Messing around with Over the Cap...

They CAN restructure the following deals and get to around $30M in cap space before the draft, but doing all of them to create flexibility in 23 would make 24 and 25 much harder.

Josh Allen (27, 23-28)
Stefon Diggs (30, 23-27)
Tr-Davious White (28, 23-25)
Dion Dawkins (29, 23-26)

Von Miller is a tough one. He is going to be 34 and is on the books through 2027, his age 38 season. So they COULD move some of that salary from 23 down the road. That would lock them into keeping him in 24 as the dead money would be higher than cap savings. They could get out in 25 for a $7M cap hit, after carrying him in 24 at $24M. They probably do that.

I think White is a tough call. He is very clearly not the same after his ACL tear. Maybe with more time he gets back closer to what he was. But pushing that one down the road for 23 is definitely risky.

Compound all this with the following:

Ed Oliver, Epenesa, and Gabriel Davis are all on the last year of their rookie deals. They have a 5th year option on Oliver that probably gets picked up, but that option doesn't exist for the other 2.

Tremaine Edmunds and Jordan Poyer (and Singletary) are all free agents. They likely want to keep at least Edmunds. Dane Jackson is, too, and is a RFA who will cost a bit to keep.

All said, the Bills CAN create room in 2023 if they want to go in again. And probably will. But with restructures on all the guys I mention here, you're freeing up about $43M. Save $10M for the rookie class, and you're at $33M with two key defensive stars up for FA (Poyer and Edmunds), a key CB (Dane Jackson) and some extension options (Oliver, Epenesa, and Gabe Davis).

Just not a lot of flexibility to go out and make a splash addition at that point.
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