Thread: Cardinals ***Official 2022 STL Cardinals Thread***
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Old 01-19-2023, 02:57 PM   #1449
DJ's left nut DJ's left nut is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Remember, Symborski warns agaisnt adding depth chart estimates to arrive at a win total.

But directionally, yes, this is implying prob a 93-96 win team.
I do think that sort of disclaimer is essentially saying "yeah, I'm building a fudge factor into my numbers..."

Because really, it should be a pretty close approximation. But since he's not sure how some of the IPs will break out or PAs, he boosts everyones numbers by a tick.

I wonder how accurate you'd get if you set the 'top' team at 105 wins, the bottom team at 105 losses, rank ordered the respective teams by projected WAR and then staggered wins/losses proportionately among them.

More math than I feel like doing, but it would effectively remove his fudge factor from the equation.
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Last edited by DJ's left nut; 01-19-2023 at 03:09 PM..
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