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Originally Posted by AdolfOliverBush
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Cheffers has led the league in penalties 2 years running. He was 2nd the year before that.
https://www.nflpenalties.com/all-referees.php?year=2022
https://www.reddit.com/r/KansasCityC...e_chiefs_at_a/
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So after yet another yellow flag parade with this subs favorite referee I decided to do a little basic arithmetic to see if the data matches the eye regarding Carl Cheffers officiating the Chiefs.
I started with the 2017 season, since that is after Kelce's comments following the 2016 AFC Divisional loss to Pittsburgh. I included all regular and postseason games.
Carl Cheffers has had the Chiefs 12 times since. He has called 97 penalties for 879 yards on the Chiefs or 8.1 penalties for 73.3 yards/game.
Opponents were called for 81 penalties for 670 yards (6.8 for 55.8 yards/game)
But maybe the Chiefs just get called for more penalties? In the 95 non-Cheffers games since 2017, the Chiefs on average are flagged 6.47 for 57.26. Opponents are flagged 6.43 for 50.62 yards.
Chiefs opponents in Cheffers games are called for penalties at rates 5% higher than all others and have 10% more penalty yards. That seems to be consistent with how Cheffers officiates most games. In a median season he calls about 10% more penalties and 10% more penalty yards than the other crews
However, the Chiefs are penalized at a rate 25% higher with Cheffers and are called for 28% more penalty yards.
So, It does appear that Cheffers has been hard on the Chiefs since Kelce's comments
Caveats: n=12 is a smallish sample size, I didn't control for some variables. Didn't test for statistical significance. This could be more noise than signal, etc.
Source: Pro Football Reference
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Underdogs are 31-14 against the spread for Cheffers games and about even for rest of the ump crews (because Vegas is good at what they do).
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I just looked it up on Pro-Football Refrence.
The Chiefs in 14 games this season have given up 20 first downs by penalty.
5 of those came yesterday. 4 came against Las Vegas.
So those two games have combined to give us 9 of our 20 first downs given up by penalty.
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