ChiefsPlanet - View Single Post - Chiefs Let’s talk about the Eagles (Super Bowl edition!)

frozenchief · 01-31-2023, 01:57 PM

Football Outsiders predicts us to win:

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/dv...uper-bowl-lvii

Five Thirty Eight predicts us to win:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ex_cid=rrpromo

Five Thirty Eight gives Hurts a 247 season-long rating and Mahomes is 280. Further, it seems significant to me that Hurts' EPA dropped from +.24 EPA before injury to +.07 and his completion percentage over expected went from +3.3 to -3.0, a drop of >6%.

https://underdognetwork.com/football...-stats-to-know

The Philly offense got a number of points from turnovers and penalties, so I'm not super sure about how good they're going to actually be. But this will be the #1 offense against the #1 defense. Past 2 matchups of that in SB have resulted in the defense winning. I think we see that change this year.

01-31-2023, 01:57 PM	#565
frozenchief Cynical Misanthrope Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: Alaska Casino cash: $-1710000	Football Outsiders predicts us to win: https://www.footballoutsiders.com/dv...uper-bowl-lvii Five Thirty Eight predicts us to win: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ex_cid=rrpromo Five Thirty Eight gives Hurts a 247 season-long rating and Mahomes is 280. Further, it seems significant to me that Hurts' EPA dropped from +.24 EPA before injury to +.07 and his completion percentage over expected went from +3.3 to -3.0, a drop of >6%. https://underdognetwork.com/football...-stats-to-know The Philly offense got a number of points from turnovers and penalties, so I'm not super sure about how good they're going to actually be. But this will be the #1 offense against the #1 defense. Past 2 matchups of that in SB have resulted in the defense winning. I think we see that change this year.
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