Quote:
Originally Posted by Megatron96
McKinnon's production is a problem. Basically I began looking at JJSS and McKinnon as one guy; when JuJu stopped producing, Mckinnon kind of took over for him.
Regardless, since we can't currently depend on Jerrick returning yet, that's a fairly large pile of yards (which I don't really care about by themselves), 1st downs (pretty important), and TDs out there unaccounted for.
I did some basic math a couple weeks ago, and as it stands we're missing about 24 TDs from last season. Now, we blew out like three-four teams i think, so we don't actually need all of those TDs to 'win those games from last season.' i think I figured maybe we needed about 17-18 of them. The rest were fluff.
And let's not forget that this was a down year for scoring, the first season in over five years or some such. Whatever Chris Simms said a few weeks ago. So, it's likely that scoring will go back up. So, we'll have to score more to win as many games. Because it's highly likely that the NFL hates us, and we'll end up playing the toughest schedule again, I mean, why not just believe that at this point.
And of course, we kicked a bunch of FGs, so not all of our scoring needs to come from TDs. But a large percentage of them we did need, because so many games last season were decided by 4 points or less.
And again for the 37th time (hyperbole), I'm not saying all of that production has to come from one player or even one room. My question has always been, "okay, then where do you think it's coming from? Realistically, where are all those yards, 1st downs, 3rd down conversions, and TDs coming from?"
Because they have to come from somewhere. And I'm just not comfortable believing that there's nearly enough talent in the WR room as it stands with the addition of some rookie WR.
As always, I hope I'm waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay wrong. Or maybe Veach/Andy will approach it from an angle I haven't even thought of. But the WR room is a bunch of "w hope this guy does something significant," and not a whole lot else.
Damn, I need a drink, but it's Tuesday. **** it.
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Well, first of all, we don't know how many TD's we'll need to score, because we don't know how many we'll give up. The defense should by any stretch of the imagination be better having played all of those rookies last year. It's not a great reach to figure they'll be better for the experience, and adding Omenihu should be an improvement.
Second, we don't know if we have to 'replace' Mckinnon; in fact, we could very well just pick up the phone and plug him right back in. In fact, it's so likely that the only way they DON'T would be because they have a BETTER idea than bringing in a guy that's proven in the system and is cheap. I mean, I have no idea what that would be. Do you?
And third, once again, you're looking at PAST PRODUCTION and it's clear we're going YOUNGER in the WR corps. I mean that's inarguable. That means you're projecting your talent. I get that's less comforting than simply looking at what a guy did last year and expecting that. But you know, we're paying our QB 18% of the cap now. That's going to happen every year now, from one position group to another. It's just the way it is. Is it a risk? Yeah. You better hope you're right. But it's also necessary. Last year was the secondary. And you know what? It turned out pretty good. This year appears to be the WR corps. Alright. Andy wouldn't sign off on it if he wasn't confident.
You kind of have to play the kids to develop them. If you keep them on the bench in favor of PAST PRODUCTION, they don't grow.
Right now, no, probably not a top 15 WR room. But I bet we think differently next February. Or Veach and Reid suddenly became idiots and we're screwed.
I know what I'd bet on.