Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaHawkeyeChief
Opening lines are all on algorhythms and more data than you can imagine. The opening line was -3 to -3.5. The line then moves on the wagers coming in...
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wachashi
The opening line is essentially what Vegas thinks (oddsmakers is the better term). Some of the most sophisticated computer models in the world + human intuition factoring in injuries and other current conditions. Public money doesn't typically cause the line to move outside of extremely popular events (the Super Bowl being one).
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Gotcha, thanks... yeah, that is a bit odd then, at the very least for the Phins, while a couple of the spreads this weekend were 9.5. It was easy to see the Phins were paper champs and didn't have a chance.
I can at least see the data pointing at the Bills last night... being 4-1 against playoff teams (IIRC) while the Chiefs were 1-4 (despite close games).