Quote:
Originally Posted by smithandrew051
There’s no good justification for taking the ball first.
I almost wonder if Shanahan didn’t know or remember, and then made up that analytic shit to justify it.
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The justification is that if both teams score 3 or 7 in their first drives, you have the ball with an ability to win it with a FG.
That obviously needs to be balanced against deferring and knowing the minimum of what you need.
I’d probably favor deferring but it’s close.