Quote:
Originally Posted by Rausch
If you have 4 plays to score you are more likely to score than if you only have 3. That's just common sense. You don't need statistics to tell you that.
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Sure. And having two possessions makes you more likely to win than the team that only gets one. Both of these are true, which is why the probabilities aren't as far off as you think.
In my opinion, the 9ers' fatal flaw was kicking the FG, not taking the ball first.