[RedinTexas]

I've tried to run some different mocks now. I find that the names that can fall to us change depending on which mock you run. I tried running a different one last night and on the first attempt Cooper Dejean fell to us. I wouldn't have thought that was within reason until I saw it. On the second attempt Brian Thomas fell to us. This is another player that I wouldn't think of as possible unless we trade up.

Some of the simulators are too loose. They'll run drafts that have various players moving way down. I've seen some allowing Caleb Williams going as late as 10th or so. Others are much tighter, but we know that odd things really do happen in drafts.

Trading is another thing that simulators don't seem to fully understand. Most of them will allow trades with any team at all just as long as the compensation is right. This is completely unrealistic. Every team has needs in the draft and they're not going to be willing to trade with us just because we want to trade. For instance, Cincinnati is picking at #18 and they need an OT. If I see a very good OT available at 18, it will allow me to engineer a trade with them as long as the compensation is right. But why would Cincinnati allow us to take a OT at their spot when that is exactly what they need? Why would it allow Cincinnati to trade with us at all, because I doubt that Cincinnati would make any such trade with us without there being a HUGE incentive.

I run most of my mock drafts without trading. I'm mostly interested in seeing what players might be available to us at #32, and if so, what the conditions are for that happening. If I do trade, I try to limit any such trades to teams that I can justify like Tampa Bay at #26 or Green Bay at #25. They have different needs than we have and I think would make good trade partners in reality.

With all of that, I have found that some of the following players have a chance of falling to us:

WR - Adonai Mitchell.

CB - Wiggins, McKinstry. I've also seen Dejean, but rate this extremely unlikely

OT - Mims, Guyton. I've seen Latham fall to us, but rate it as extremely unlikely

DL - Murphy, Newton. Murphy only happened once and it would be extremely unlikely.

Other players become much more possible when you include trading up. As I noted above though, I limit trading up to teams that might realistically trade with us and I don't trade any higher than the low 20s. Veach might go higher, but the higher it is, the less likely it seem to be. With trades I've found some of the following players to be within reach:

WR - Brian Thomas. I've mostly found that he will not fall past Buffalo.

CB - Cooper Dejean. Not a position that I would be trading up for, but available.

OT - Fuaga, Fautanu, Latham

DL - Murphy. Again, this not a position I would be trading up for, but available sometimes.