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Old 07-24-2024, 02:43 PM   #1610
dlphg9 dlphg9 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
He could be a 2025 debut guy if they sent him on an aggressive assignment (at least High-A to start) and had him perform so well he got at least a cup of coffee at AA. It's really about how he acclimates and how fast he shows he is ready to move up.



Grades get weird... I think the most accurate scouts use a present/future rating for guys.

You could make a case for an 80 on his future power, to represent his potential (though 80 is really intended to be a generational skill, a once-every-10-years type of thing). Like, you'd give Aaron Judge an 80. Probably wouldn't hand that to maybe one more guy in his generation.

I'd probably say a fair and conservative grade on Caglianone is to give him a 55/65 power rating. Aggressive would be 60/70. Both are fair, IMO.
But was Aaron Judge really thought of as that big of a power hitter? He had 23 HRs in 4 seasons in college and his senior year was the only year he had over 5. As a minor leaguer he only had 20 HRs once. Wouldn't you expect the guy with a 500+ ft HR and a few HR records to be more highly graded than that guy?

Judges back ground doesn't scream "60 HR/season power". Of course he has the size, but shit I wouldn't expect him to be a 30 HR/season guy.

Baseball prospectus had Judge as a 60 for future power. MLB.com had him at 40 for current and 70 for future.
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