Quote:
Originally Posted by KC_Connection
The odds of winning the game increase by letting Mahomes go for it at the 1 there. Shouldn’t need analytics to tell you that much either but he’s quite likely to get it (and even if he doesn’t you’ve pinned the Bengals at the 1 and will likely be in great field position to score on the following drive).
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Yes - I know what the people on ESPN say.
I also know that we lost a playoff game with this 'logic'.
I know we saw the Eagles just lose a game because of it. And we've won multiple games by defying it the last several years.
No, nothing on that drive indicated we were 'quite likely' to get a score. Nor does pinning them mean much given that Mahomes threw the most boneheaded pick he's thrown in quite some time the next time he had the ball in his hands.
Again - you insist on operating in theory when we've seen what happens in practice over and over and over again on this very team. Context matters more than large numbers and the context is that even WITH Mahomes, we struggled like hell to move the ball all day. We've struggled in short yardage situations for a fairly long time.
You can't just say "Because Mahomes" and ignore what's happening on the field, no matter how badly you'd like to do so.