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Old 12-06-2024, 01:21 AM   #1334
JPH83 JPH83 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
It means that Mahomes is pressured on about 24.5% of his drop-backs which, relative to the rest of the league, appears to be pretty good.

It means that if he drops back 40 times in a given game, he'll get pressured roughly 10 times, the BEST situation in the league (evidently Denver and TB according to those stats) will get pressured 8 times in that game.

And basically, from what I can tell, they're dividing the number of 'pass set plays' he's run this year (appears to be 491) by the number of pressures (sacks+hits+hurries) to get their percentage.

Total pressures on the season -- 121, total pass block opportunities -- 491. Thus the 24.5.

And if you were to say say "Man, Mahomes is getting pressured on 1/4 of his drop-backs" we'd immediately think "Damn, he's just getting harassed back there..."

But again, relative to the rest of the league....he really isn't.

Interestingly, the Chiefs pass rush appears to be pretty average when I try to run the reverse stat from their defensive figures. 492 pass rush downs by the defense, 138 ottal pressures -- good for a 28% pressure rate. By that read, our defense is getting more pressure than our offense is surrendering on the season. For most of the season, that would've actually checked out to me.

ESPECIALLY when you see that Jones is responsible for 54 of those total pressures, about 40% of the pressures from the entire defense (including blitzers).

That's gross. Jones really has been hung out to dry by the rest of the pass rush this year.
It'd be interesting to see whether Jones hasn't just been hung out to dry by the DL pretty much the last 3 years as well. Karlaftis and Danna have had better years in terms of sacks, but I don't think their pressure rates have been higher, and PFF also doesn't rate them as having particularly stellar seasons the last 2 years, in fact they grade Karlaftis higher this year I think. The DTs remain pretty much the same as ever, terrible.

Still feels to me the weak point on the defense even with the investment, and that it is substantially bailed out by blitzes.
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