Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties
I'm arguing this notion that we took out all the intermediate and deep routes in our offense is complete garbage. 
I don't really care. The GIFS I posted are plenty of evidence. Those two long completions to Brown ALONE are evidence. Those aren't three step drops. |
Again, the argument is more about the longer
developing plays. It's about the time it takes for certain routes to work.
Yes, the Chiefs did throw some deep/intermediate balls against Pitt but they were all one cut and go routes. And the reason you know that is simpe:
3 deep balls -- average time to throw: 2.19 seconds
8 intermediate -- TTT: 2.42 seconds
Contrast that to the 9 balls behind the LOS? 2.55 seconds.
The deep and intermediate balls took LESS time to throw than his passes behind the LOS in that game.
That's CLEARLY pre-determined read and fire plays. That's spamming shit you know works when you know the defense hasn't figured them out. 2.19 seconds to throw a deep shot isn't a 'long developing play' because we weren't running 'em. We weren't using those longer developing deep routes.
And if we go out there against the Chargers and Buffalo (most likely scenario, IMO) and those teams - who know us EXTREMELY well - are going to let us run those super easy concepts to get the ball downfield in under 2.5 seconds, we'll beat the absolute shit out of them.
But I just don't think they will. And if/when they show that they're not going to let us spam those same concepts repeatedly, we'll want to bust out some of the Cover 3 beaters and other longer developing concepts that allow us to get to 3+ seconds in the pocket to find the occasional shot look.
But there's just no question that when we shaved a
full second off our average TTT on deep balls and nearly a full second off intermediate balls that we were doing something very different in our downfield passing game. And look at any season of PMs career - the numbers are roughly similar. Always around 3.3 to 3.5 on deep shots, 3.1 to 3.25 on intermediate shots.
We are 3.1 to 3.5 on intermediate to deep balls for the entirety of Mahomes career. A sample size of literally THOUSANDS of attempts. And in that game we had those numbers at 2.4 and 2.2 respectively.
Yes, something was very very VERY clearly different.