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#HOUvsKC #NFLPlayoffs officiating crew cheat sheet
HOME teams are 4-0 SU & 2-2 ATS in Clay Martin's playoff career, favored by an avg of -4.5 pts.
One playoff game was a 22-17 KC win vs #Browns in 2020 & also #Texans 45-17 win vs #Browns in 2023
The Chiefs are 6-0 SU & 2-4 ATS w Martin, favored by an avg of -7.5 pts in those contests
Most recently, their 19-17 Black Friday win vs. #Raiders in Week 13, which ended w' the illegal shift penalty on Las Vegas as time expired
The makeup of this crew points to an emphasis on OFFENSIVE penalties
The combination of FALSE START/OFFENSIVE HOLDING will be key in this game
That combination accounted for 47.4% of Clay Martin's penalties in 2024 (No.1 in NFL)
OFFENSIVE HOLDING without a doubt the No.1 issue for #KansasCity, they rank 3rd overall but are excellent in the false start category ,ranking 26th
However, the Houston Texans are also an above avg penalized offense in BOTH these categories
Traditionally, the NFL look to reduce these calls in the playoffs, so both teams should be provided some leeway
THIRD DOWN ALERT
Clay Martin led crews calling just 17.3% of penalties on THIRD DOWN, second FEWEST in the #NFL
Additionally, the Martin/Hochuli crews calling some of the fewest defensive penalties on THIRD down, both in the bottom three of crews . Leeway will be provided on the money down if form holds.
The #Chiefs an above avg penalized DEFENSE third down, the Texans a way above avg penalized OFFENSE on 3rd down
#KansasCity OFFENSE ranks 11th as a BENEFICIARY of AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS via PENALTY.
#Houston OFFENSE ranks 29th as a BENEFICIARY of AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS via PENALTY.
Houston has improved from a penalty perspective down the stretch & they're going to need to put together a season best performance penalty-wise on Saturday . If they are behind the chains via false start or offensive holding too often, it's going to be near impossible to win at Arrowhead
The Chiefs always reduce penalties in the playoffs, & by a significant amount vs regular season games
The officiating angles & the playoff history of Andy Reid/Patrick Mahomes point to a home team victory to open the #DivisionalRound
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